The French saying: “plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose” “The more it changes the more it’s the same thing.” I have always thought this motto applied to the stock market better than anywhere else. Now the really important part of this proverb is the phrase “the more it changes.” The economic world has changed radically and it will change even more. Most people think now that the essential nature of the stock market has been undergoing a corresponding change. But if my cliché is sound – and a cliché’s only excuse, I suppose, is that it is sound – then the stock market will continue to be essentially what it always was in the past – a place where a big bull market is inevitably followed by a big bear market. In other words, a place where today’s free lunches are paid for doubly tomorrow. In the light of experience, I think the present level of the stock market is an extremely dangerous one.
“If a stock is selling at a PE of 50, you have to be right about too many things to consider the principal secure: at a minimum you have to be right about both future earnings and future PE. With a PE of 12, several points below the historic average, you can get away with being […]
Q: Since Ben Graham isn’t around anymore, what money managers do you respect today? Is there a Ben Graham today? Wealth would create more Wealth You don’t need another Ben Graham. You don’t need another Moses. There were only Ten Commandments; we’re still waiting for the eleventh (j/k). His investing philosophy is still alive and […]