The game of investing is one of making better predictions about the future than other people. How are you going to do that? One way is to limit your tries to areas of competence. If you try to predict the future of everything, you attempt too much. You’re going to fail through lack of specialization.
In investing, it’s often too late to wait till the picture is complete. It will be obvious to everyone else by that point too. To get an edge, start coloring earlier than other people, collect more “dots” than other people, and invest when the picture is 80% filled in and you’re confident in the final outcome […]